Looking through the presentations at the JISC digitisation conference, I was interested to read the following prediction from Peter Kaufman [ppt]:
Over the next 13 years:
an iPod or a device its size will be able to hold:
- a year’s worth of video (8,760 hours) by 2012 (5 years from now)
- all the commercial music ever created by 2015 (8 years), and
- all the content ever created (in all media) by 2020 (13 years).
[Peter Kaufman. Online digital video –
educational developments and opportunities. ppt]
We are now in an Internet phase of large informational hubs on the web, massive aggregations of content and services. It is quite a centralized environment. It will be interesting to see how patterns of use change as devices evolve as Peter discusses. At some stage in the near future, I assume, we will be shipping large amounts of content around to people on small devices. We could give people their own library, which synchs up from time to time with various services?